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BEST BETS

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (4-11) at BUFFALO BILLS (9-6)

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LINE: Buffalo via 13

CHEWABLE: There are more than one causes to be anxious about taking the Expenses. First, they laid a dozen issues in opposition to the Chargers closing Saturday and received via two, and 3 in their closing 4 video games were determined via a box objective or much less whilst handiest two in their closing 11 were determined via a couple of ranking … The Patriots have received two in their closing 3, beginning with a 21-18 victory in Pittsburgh that threw a wrench into the Steelers’ playoff plans. They did a an identical quantity at the Broncos in Denver with a 26-23 victory that left the house workforce clinging to an 8% playoff likelihood and successfully ended Russell Wilson’s time in Colorado … Best considered one of New England’s closing 5 losses were via a couple of ranking, and allow us to now not fail to remember that the Patriots additionally beat the Expenses 29-25 in Week 7, with Mac Jones throwing for 272 yards … Expenses have an 87% playoff likelihood however need to be having a look at larger issues, such because the AFC East identify, which they’re going to play for subsequent week in the event that they beat the Patriots and the Dolphins lose in Baltimore … The Patriots defence is second-best in opposition to the run, and handiest seven groups have allowed extra general yards of offence … This might be the closing time we see Invoice Belichick trainer the Patriots in opposition to the Expenses. Since taking on in New England, he has crushed Buffalo 37 of 45 occasions. I’m now not announcing he’s going to do it once more, however I will’t see him now not giving western New York a minimum of yet another scare.

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TAKING: NEW ENGLAND +13

SCORE (O/U 40.5): Expenses 21, Patriots 17

LOS ANGELES RAMS (8-7) at NEW YORK GIANTS (5-10)

LINE: L.A. Rams via 5.5

CHEWABLE: Wouldn’t an important proportion of bettors again the guests right here if the unfold was once two unconverted TDs as a substitute of 1? Rams are having a look like a contender with stellar play on each side of the ball, whilst the Giants don’t have anything at the line and are taking every other nostril dive … Shocking upsets happen on this situation continuously, and it’s possible that veteran QB Tyrod Taylor may just flip in an heroic efficiency for the Giants. However the Rams are a veteran workforce that received the Tremendous Bowl a few years in the past and, nonetheless at only a 67% playoff likelihood, are not going to make the error of taking any opponent frivolously. They’re additionally 9-5-1 ATS and are 2-0-0 as a visiting favorite.

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TAKING: L.A. RAMS -5.5

SCORE (O/U 44.5): Rams 30, Giants 17

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (11-4) at WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (4-11)

LINE: San Francisco via 12.5

CHEWABLE: The Commanders are within the unenviable place of going through the NFL’s perfect all-round workforce every week after it was once embarrassed in a 14-point loss to the NFL’s second-best all-round workforce. Frightened for redemption must be Brock Purdy, whose 4 interceptions resulted in the 49ers’ loss to Baltimore and in addition would possibly price him the MVP award. Purdy now faces the Commanders, who scores display have the second-worst move defence within the league and surrender extra yardage to broad receivers than any workforce. In addition they surrender numerous receiving yardage to RBs popping out of the backfield. So yeah, giant days for Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and Christian McCaffrey  … Jacoby Brissett will get started at quarterback for the Commanders after finishing 18 of 23 move makes an attempt for 224 yards and 3 TDs in aid of Sam Howell the closing two video games. The Niners would possibly have damaged the occupation report for many sacks via one workforce in a recreation (14, set via the 1952 Eagles as opposed to Giants) had Washington long past again to Howell, who has been sacked a league-leading 60 occasions … At simply 8-7-0 ATS, the Niners have damaged some hearts, however the Commanders have misplaced six in a row and given up a minimum of 28 issues in every.

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TAKING: SAN FRANCISCO -12.5

SCORE (O/U 49): Niners 43, Commanders 14

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DETROIT LIONS (11-4) at DALLAS COWBOYS (10-5)

LINE: Dallas via 5.5

CHEWABLE: They have been dancin’ within the streets of Motown when the Lions clinched the department identify for the primary time in 30 years with closing week’s win over the Vikings. Whilst Detroit nonetheless has a shot at No. 1 seed, the Cowboys can be extra determined for a victory after shedding their closing two video games, and with best spot within the NFC East up for grabs they need to be extraordinarily assured as they go back to the comforts of house. The Cowboys are 7-0 at AT&T Stadium, the place they have got averaged nearly 40 issues a recreation whilst outscoring fighters 279-108 … Best 3 groups have allowed extra speeding yards than the Lions, however accidents of their secondary have left Detroit susceptible to aerial assaults. Wringing his giant mitts is Dak Prescott, who has 20 TD passes in opposition to simply two alternatives at house, and whose occupation report in opposition to the Lions is 4-0, with 9 TD passes and no interceptions … The Cowboys have received the closing 5 conferences and haven’t misplaced a house recreation to the Lions in 12 years … With the best way I’m leaning, there’s fear that Dan Campbell is 16-4 ATS when an underdog of 4-plus issues. Adequate, I’m over it.

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TAKING: DALLAS -5.5

SCORE (O/U 53.5): Cowboys 34, Lions 28

MIAMI DOLPHINS (11-4) at BALTIMORE RAVENS (12-3)

LINE: Baltimore via 3.5

CHEWABLE: The Dolphins have the NFL’s highest-scoring offence and, with closing week’s walk-off box objective in opposition to Dallas, are coming off their first victory in opposition to an opponent with a profitable report. The Ravens have the league’s stingiest defence, which has held fighters to a league-low 16.3 issues in keeping with recreation, and completely ruled the tough Niners 33-19 closing Monday. Because the groups combat for best seed within the AFC, I’m remembering their assembly in Week 2 at M&T Financial institution Stadium closing season, when the Dolphins rallied from a 35-14 deficit with slightly over 12 mins left to win 42-38. The Ravens didn’t have a solution for Tyreek Hill, who had 11 catches for 190 yards and two fourth-quarter TDs, and I’m now not positive it’s any other now … Dolphins broad receiver Jaylen Waddle (ankle) is not going to play … The Ravens will have an emotional sag after this kind of loud remark closing week. Of observe: Lamar Jackson is 9-19 ATS as a favorite of greater than 3 issues, and Ravens are simply 4-3 ATS at house.

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TAKING: MIAMI +3.5

SCORE (O/U 47): Ravens 24, Dolphins 23

ATLANTA FALCONS (7-8) at CHICAGO BEARS (6-9)

LINE: Chicago via 3

CHEWABLE: The recent-and-cold Falcons are spectacular when they are able to run the ball like they did in a 29-10 victory over the Colts closing week, which noticed them pound the bottom 30 occasions for 177 yards. However the Colts’ ‘D’ is twenty eighth in opposition to the run, whilst the Bears are first, permitting 80.7 floor yards in keeping with recreation … The Bears have received 4 in their closing six, with the 2 losses coming in late-game collapses in opposition to the Lions and Browns. Thowdy will have hassle with Atlanta’s defence, which, if you’re taking out the 29-25 loss to Tampa Bay in Week 14, has surrendered a median of 9 issues in keeping with recreation over the opposite 3 in their closing 4 … The Falcons have additionally surrendered the sixth-most speeding yardage to opposing quarterbacks and Justin Fields, who was once born simply out of doors of Atlanta, must wipe out the ten% playoff likelihood to which his fatherland workforce is clinging … The Bears have coated 5 immediately weeks.

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TAKING: CHICAGO -3

SCORE (O/U 37.5): Bears 26, Falcons 20

TENNESSEE TITANS (5-10) at HOUSTON TEXANS (8-7)

LINE: Houston via 5.5

CHEWABLE: The go back of QB C.J. Stroud (concussion) can be large for the Texans, as each groups battle protecting the move and the rookie is clearly extra fatal heaving the pigskin than Case Keenum. That mentioned, Keenum led the Texans to a 19-16 OT win in Nashville two weeks in the past, considered one of 3, three-point losses (at the side of a victory over the Dolphins) Tennessee has suffered within the closing 4 video games … Amongst their closing 3 video games, the Texans were blown out via the Jets and the Browns … Nonetheless a heavy favorite to be named rookie of the yr, Stroud has finished simply 60% of his passes whilst throwing handiest 3 TD passes in his closing 3 begins … The Texans are 6-3-0 ATS however 1-5-0 as a favorite … Tennessee trainer Mike Vrabel is 25-13 ATS as an underdog of three+ issues … The Titans may even have their rookie QB (Will Smith) getting back from damage and are in a position to enjoying the spoiler position.

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TAKING: TENNESSEE +5.5

SCORE (O/U 43.5): Texans 23, Titans 21

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (7-8) at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (8-7)

LINE: Indianapolis via 3.5

CHEWABLE: The meantime tag must come off Raiders head trainer Antonio Pierce, and now not simply since the Raiders are 4-3 since he took over from Josh McDaniel, or as a result of fighters are averaging simply 15.3 issues in opposition to Las Vegas in the ones seven video games, while they have been giving up 23.4 issues in keeping with of their first 8. The largest reason why the Raiders must move into subsequent season with Pierce is that he led them to a 20-14 victory in Kansas Town closing week along with his quarterback, Aidan O’Connell, connecting on handiest 9 of 21 move makes an attempt for 62 yards whilst now not finishing a unmarried move after the primary quarter. After beating Patrick Mahomes, Pierce must be capable of handle Gardner Minshew … The Colts’ playoff likelihood is 53%, nevertheless it seems like they blew their likelihood once they folded closing week in opposition to Atlanta.

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TAKING: LAS VEGAS +3.5

SCORE (O/U 44.5): Raiders 21, Colts 20

CAROLINA PANTHERS (2-13) at JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (8-7)

LINE: Jacksonville via 6.5

CHEWABLE: The Panthers are coming off their perfect offensive recreation of the season in a 33-30 loss to the Packers — scoring 20 issues in the second one part by myself — whilst Bryce Younger if truth be told resembled a NFL quarterback, finishing 23 of 36 move makes an attempt whilst going over 300 yards for the primary time … The Jaguars have became a nook too, handiest they’re headed the improper approach. Whilst it as soon as seemed like they have been going to run and conceal from the remainder of the AFC South, they have got now misplaced 4 immediately. Heading into their greatest recreation of the season, they have got signed and activated Matt Barkley as insurance coverage if No. 1 QB Trevor Lawrence (shoulder) can’t move. The Jaguars are his eleventh workforce within the closing 10 seasons … If Lawrence does play, it’s now not just like the Jags are sitting beautiful. He has thrown 5 alternatives in his closing 3 video games and led Jacksonville to 19 issues within the closing two … Now can be a great time to remind you that the Panthers’ move defence ranks fourth, whilst the Jaguars’ move defence is twenty ninth.

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TAKING: CAROLINA +6.5

SCORE (O/U 38): Panthers 23, Jaguars 21

ARIZONA CARDINALS (3-12) at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (11-4)

LINE: Philadelphia via 10.5

CHEWABLE: Too many issues to put on an Eagles workforce that misplaced 3 immediately, then hung directly to win 33-25 in opposition to the Giants, who outscored them 22-13 in the second one part. Philadelphia does have an impressive offence and the Cardinals have a putrid defence, however Kyler Murray will post some issues in opposition to a defence that ranks twenty seventh in opposition to the move … The Cardinals are 7-8-0 ATS whilst the Eagles are 7-6-2 ATS  … Justin Fields had 9 carries for 97 yards in opposition to Arizona closing week. Jalen Hurts can do one thing an identical if he’s now not too busy burning Playing cards corners with DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown … D’Andre Swift had 20 carries for 92 yards and a TD in opposition to the Giants on Christmas Day and must have nice good fortune in opposition to the worst run defence within the NFL.

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TAKING: ARIZONA +10.5

SCORE (O/U 48): Eagles 30, Cardinals 21

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (7-8) at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (8-7)

LINE: Tampa Bay via 2.5

CHEWABLE: Baker Mayfield has the third-shortest odds to win Comeback Participant of the Yr Award after guiding the Bucs to 4 immediately wins — throwing 8 TD passes in opposition to no alternatives within the closing 3 — and situating Tampa Bay because the heavy favorite to win the NFC South … Even supposing the Bucs are simply 3-4 ATS at house, they have got coated in seven in their closing 10 and are tied for the most efficient total ATS report within the league at 10-5 … The Saints are 4-10-1 ATS and haven’t coated at the highway since Week 5, and the blended report of the groups they’ve defeated this season is 30-60 … The Bucs defeated the Saints 26-9 in Week 4, permitting Derek Carr 127 passing yards whilst finishing 23-of-37 for a paltry 3.4 moderate … After a 30-22 loss to the Rams closing Thursday, the Saints’ playoff likelihood is slender (12%) to none, and Slender is ready to go away the city.

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TAKING: TAMPA BAY -2.5

SCORE (O/U 42.5): Bucs 27, Saints 23

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (8-7) at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (8-7)

LINE: Seattle via 3.5

CHEWABLE: Mason Rudolph had the Steelers offence having a look higher than it has in a very long time when, in his first get started of the season, he threw for 290 yards and two TDs in an surprising pulling down of the Bengals closing week … The Steelers simply must win considered one of their closing two video games to verify Mike Tomlin seventeenth immediately season with out a dropping report, however extra importantly, profitable each, together with subsequent week’s seek advice from to Baltimore, their possibilities of making the playoffs move from the 17% they’re at now to 92% … The Seahawks are coming off back-to-back 20-17 wins over the Eagles and Titans to spice up their playoff likelihood to 69% … Since their bye, the Seahawks are 5-6. Of the 5 wins, just one was once via greater than 4 issues … The Steelers defence boasts extra giant playmakers, however neither workforce places up sufficient resistance. Towards the run, the Steelers rank twentieth and the Seahawks are twenty seventh. Towards the move, the Seahawks are nineteenth and the Steelers are twenty first … From a having a bet viewpoint, the hook is just too engaging to move.

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TAKING: PITTSBURGH +3.5

SCORE (O/U 41): Seahawks 30, Steelers 28

CINCINNATI BENGALS (8-7) at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (9-6)

LINE: Kansas Town via 7

CHEWABLE: The protecting champs are sliding off their throne. The Chiefs’ loss to the Raiders closing week represented considered one of their worst offensive outings of the Patrick Mahomes generation. It was once additionally their 1/3 in 4 video games and fourth of their closing six. In conjunction with all of the frustration they’re appearing, it seems now like they have got 0 likelihood of repeating … The Bengals’ playoff likelihood is right down to 23% after closing week’s face plant in Pittsburgh, which got here at the heels of victories over the Jaguars, Colts and Vikings. It bounces as much as 59% with a victory in Okay.C, the place they have got received and misplaced via 3 issues of their closing two visits … The Chiefs most likely can be with out their perfect offensive participant, Isiah Pacheco, who now has a concussion to head at the side of his shoulder damage. The Bengals expect the go back in their perfect, Ja’Marr Chase, who was once again at apply this week after lacking one recreation with a shoulder damage … The Chiefs are 3-4 ATS at house, and whilst they are able to rally the troops and win outright, this unfold is far too giant.

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TAKING: CINCINNATI +7

SCORE (O/U 44.5): Chiefs 24, Bengals 21

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (5-10) at DENVER BRONCOS (7-8)

LINE: Denver via 3.5

CHEWABLE: Clinging to their playoff hopes via a wee (8%) thread after a loss to the Patriots closing week, the Broncos brought on this line to drop two complete issues once they benched Russell Wilson. How can Denver be at an advantage with Jarrett Stidham, a fourth-round pick out in 2019 who’s 0-2 in occupation begins, over a Tremendous Bowl winner, except gamers are pleased with the transfer and rally across the backup … The Broncos are 1-3 since a five-game profitable streak erased their horrid get started, with that victory being a 24-7 beating of the Chargers … Having a look impressed below meantime head trainer Giff Smith, the Chargers would have disillusioned the Expenses closing week had Buffalo’s Gabe Davis now not performed his perfect recreation of the season. The Chargers’ new quarterback, Easton Stick, confirmed flashes of promise … The Chargers may just additionally having Joey Bosa go back from a foot damage, a construction that might make issues tough for an unexperienced QB who already can be being concerned about Khalil Mack … With all their accidents, the Chargers don’t have the offensive ability in their fighters. The Broncos must win their closing house recreation of the season, however it’ll be a detailed one.

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TAKING: L.A. CHARGERS +3.5

SCORE (O/U 37.5): Broncos 21, Chargers 20

GREEN BAY PACKERS (7-8) at MINNESOTA VIKINGS (7-8)

LINE: Minnesota via 2

CHEWABLE: Attention-grabbing finale to Week 17 has the Vikings going again to Jaren Corridor — who can be making his moment occupation get started after Nick Mullens threw six interceptions in his two spins on the wheel — whilst they move ahead the remainder of the season with out TE T.J. Hockenson (ACL/MCL) and edge rusher D.J. Wonnum (quad) … The Packers have a 26% playoff likelihood and feature benched standout CB Jaire Alexander … The Packers are 3-5 ATS at the highway, whilst the Vikings are 2-5 ATS at house, however I’m going with the house workforce anyway. Brian Flores oversees one of the most best blitzing defences within the league, and the Packers’ season hit an enormous bump within the highway when Jordan Love couldn’t maintain blitzing the Giants did in a crucial Week 14 loss. Additionally since the Packers are so unhealthy defensively, particularly in opposition to the run, and Ty Chandler might be in for every other triple-digit speeding day.

TAKING: MINNESOTA -2

SCORE (O/U 46.5): Vikings 20, Packers 17

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